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☆ How Wall Street makes money by predicting the Fed’s decisions
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-20 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

There, you will find a bar chart plotting the share of traders predicting a rate hike, cut or no change in interest rates at an upcoming meeting. Traders’ actions translate into interest rate decision probabilitiesWhen the Fed changes interest rates it’s actually changing what’s known as the federal funds rate target range. The federal funds rate is the interest rate banks charge each other to borrow money, and it impacts the interest rate consumers pay for a variety of loans, including some mortgages. But it wasn’t until 2013 that the CME Group launched the FedWatch tool, giving everyone access to the information without having to do complex calculations. Why the FedWatch Tool is so closely followedThe Fed’s interest rate decisions can have serious implications for your investments.

Persons: that’s, Jerome Powell, ” Powell, Agha Mirza, Mirza, ”, FedWatch, ” Mirza, Alex McGrath, Ben Bernanke, Ken Kuttner, Powell’s Jackson, Dow, Greg Daco, Daco, McGrath, ” McGrath Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal, Chicago Mercantile Exchange, CME Group, CNN, Fed, Index, “ Investors, Williams College Locations: New York, EY

☆ The Fed likely won’t raise rates this month — but November is another matter
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-03 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

Washington, DC CNN —Last week’s economic data increasingly gave investors hope that the Federal Reserve could hold interest rates steady this month, following a hike in July that brought rates to their highest level in 22 years. It’s hard to say definitively if or when the central bank will hike interest rates again this year. The Fed could hold rates steady for the rest of the year if both the job market and the broader economy continue to slow, helping bring down inflation. Higher for longer means keeping interest rates elevated for a prolonged period. China’s National Bureau of Statistics releases August inflation data.

Persons: hasn’t, ” Leslie Thompson, Thompson, Jerome Powell, Powell, Susan Collins, Powell’s Jackson, there’s, Raphael Bostic, Olesya Dmitracova, ” Patrick Hummel, David Lesne, Juan Perez, Carrascosa, Barnes & Noble Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, DC CNN, Federal, Financial, Spectrum Wealth Management, CNN, Fed, Kansas City, Boston, Yahoo, Finance, Atlanta Fed, Volkswagen, Renault, UBS, French, Swiss, Barnes &, The Reserve Bank of Australia, US Commerce Department, Eagle, Express, P Global, Institute for Supply Management, Bank of Canada, US Labor Department, Kroger, China’s National Bureau of Statistics Locations: Washington, Jackson Hole , Wyoming, Cape Town , South Africa, Europe

☆ The Fed is ‘flying blind’ on the economy. Will this week’s jobs data help?
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-28 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +9 min

The Bureau of Labor Statistics kicks things off on Tuesday with the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report for July. But the pace of job creation and demand by employers for flexible labor, temporary, contract and full time jobs, while still strong, has definitely slowed. Tell me about the ASA Staffing Index, which tracks weekly changes in temporary and contract employment. The ASA Staffing Index is a real-time snapshot of employment. So I think we may have seen a trough in terms of temporary employment and we could be seeing now the beginning of the upturn.

Persons: Bell, Richard Wahlquist, Jackson, Jerome Powell, Powell’s Jackson, we’ve, We’ve, they’ve, upticks, Alicia Wallace, ”, Janelle Griffith, Marsh, Brian Fung Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Labor Statistics, Labor, ADP, Reserve, American Staffing Association, Fed, ASA, Panama Canal Authority, Amazon, Apple, Google, Meta, Microsoft, Companies Locations: New York, Jackson Hole , Wyoming, Panama, North American

☆ Stock futures are little changed as investors await Powell’s Jackson Hole speech: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-24 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

U.S. stock futures were flat Thursday night as Wall Street looked toward Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's Jackson Hole speech on Friday morning. However, the markets turned negative for the day as investors grew more cautious ahead of Powell's remarks. Despite Thursday's declines, both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq are holding on to weekly gains of 0.2% and 1.3%, respectively. The Jackson Hole Economic Symposium in Wyoming brings together central bankers and key financial officials from across the world. During last year's gathering, stocks fell following Powell's hawkish speech.

Persons: Jerome Powell's Jackson, Powell's, Dow, Powell, Zachary Hill, Jackson, Hill Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Federal, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Jackson, Horizon Investments Locations: Wyoming

☆ Fed Chair Powell’s Jackson Hole speech will be a valedictory, but no pat on the back: Paul McCulley
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed Chair Powell’s Jackson Hole speech will be a valedictory, but no pat on the back: Paul McCulleyPaul McCulley, Fmr. PIMCO chief economist, joins 'Fast Money' to talk what he expects to hear out of Jackson Hole this week, the Fed's next moves and more.

Persons: Jackson, Paul McCulley Paul McCulley

☆ Could Fed Chair Powell’s Jackson Hole speech send stocks plunging again?
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-24 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

New York CNN —With Nvidia earnings out of the way, the next test for US markets is Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s annual speech at the Jackson Hole economic summit on Friday. “In August of 2022, Powell knew the Fed had several more rate hikes to go. Macy’s sounds the alarm on credit card delinquenciesMacy’s is warning of a spike in customers who are failing to make credit card payments, adding to the evidence of mounting financial stress on consumers, reports my colleague Matt Egan. This situation is hurting Macy’s business, driving down credit card revenue by 36% year over year and contributing to a quarterly loss, he said. Citing worsening consumer leverage metrics, Macy’s is bracing for a further increase in “bad debt” in its credit card portfolio.

Persons: Jerome Powell’s, Powell, ”, — Powell, “, Tom Graff, Matt Egan, ” Adrian Mitchell, Danielle Wiener, Bronner, Qiana Di, Di Bari, Read Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Nvidia, Kansas, Fed, Dow Jones, “, Bureau of Labor Statistics Locations: New York, Wyoming, Maui, United States, Qiana Di Bari, Lahaina, Kahului

☆ Bond rout will amplify Powell’s Jackson Hole words
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-23 | by ( Ben Winck | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell testifies before a House Financial Services Committee hearing on "The Federal Reserve's Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report" on Capitol Hill in Washington, U.S., June 21, 2023. REUTERS/Jonathan Ernst Acquire Licensing RightsWASHINGTON, Aug 23 (Reuters Breakingviews) - The U.S. Federal Reserve might be done hiking rates, but the bond market has only just gotten started. That poses a lofty challenge for Fed Chair Jerome Powell when he speaks at the Jackson Hole, Wyoming symposium on Friday: calm the Treasury market without undoing the Fed’s own tightening. He can reiterate that, while the Fed keeps an eye on markets, its next policy decision rests on economic data, not ever-shifting bond yields. The U.S. Federal Reserve holds its annual symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming from Aug. 24 to Aug. 26.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Jonathan Ernst, Freddie Mac, CreditCards.com, Powell, Powell won’t, Christine Lagarde, Francesco Guerrera, Sharon Lam Organizations: Federal, Financial, REUTERS, Rights, Reuters, U.S . Federal, Futures, Fed, Treasury, U.S . Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, Government, , Wyoming, Jackson Hole , Wyoming

☆ How much ‘pain’ is the Fed willing to inflict? Wednesday’s rate hike will offer clues
▼ + stars: | 2022-09-21 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has acknowledged the economic pain this rapid tightening regime may cause. A larger hike is possible, but unlikelySome economists even expect the Fed to implement a massive — and historic — full-point rate hike on Wednesday. It meant that people understood the seriousness of the Fed’s commitment to getting inflation rates back down to 2%, he said. They want higher bond yields,” former New York Federal Reserve President Bill Dudley told CNN back in May. The Federal Reserve announces its rate hike decision Wednesday at 2 p.m.

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